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The problem is that things seldom go as planned. Napoleon’s ideas make sense, but history is full of unexpected variables—most of all, human nature. Napoleon fails to predict that he won’t be welcomed with open arms and that his own administrators and soldiers care more about their own interests than promoting their emperor’s glory. Moreover, Tolstoy has often made the point that the individual actions of the members of the army are more decisive than formal plans, and the French army has no morale left.